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18.11.2024

Dr. Mohammad Zahoor. 

Rebuilding Ukraine: The Critical Need for Labor Post-War and the Global Implications

Ukraine may need to bring in labor from countries with large labor pools.

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Refugees from Ukraine are seen on the platform boarding the train to Warsaw, at the railway station in Przemysl, southeastern Poland, on April 5, 2022. More than 4.2 million Ukrainian refugees have fled the country since the Russian invasion, the UN says. (Photo by Wojtek RADWANSKI / AFP)

As Ukraine nears the fourth year of conflict following Russia’s full-scale invasion, the scale of devastation extends far beyond physical damage.

 

Beyond the staggering decline in economic indicators year-over-year in 2022 —GDP down by 28.2%, inflation at 20.6%, consumer spending down by 16.9%, and investments shrinking by 33.9%—Ukraine faces a monumental humanitarian crisis.

 

The war has displaced millions of Ukrainians and wreaked havoc on the nation’s infrastructure and economy. While international aid has provided critical short-term relief, the long-term task of rebuilding Ukraine is a daunting challenge that will require a substantial workforce, massive funding, and sustained international support.

A Nation Displaced: The Humanitarian Toll

Since Feb. 24, 2022, when Russia launched its invasion, over eight million Ukrainians have fled the country, resulting in Europe’s largest refugee crisis since World War II.

Over 13 million people—nearly one-third of Ukraine’s prewar population—have been displaced, with around five million internally displaced. Neighbouring nations, especially Poland, have borne the brunt of this crisis, welcoming millions of refugees and straining their own resources.

 

Though some refugees have returned, new waves of Russian offensives could displace many more.

Recent data indicates increased outflows as the economic situation remains precarious. The UN reports a significant rise in Ukrainian migrants, totaling nearly 6.8 million as of late 2024. This ongoing humanitarian crisis not only affects Ukraine but has also sent ripple effects through Europe, placing substantial strain on host countries.

Global Ripple Effects: Economic and Social Impact

The war in Ukraine has had profound impacts beyond Europe, affecting global supply chains and driving up the cost of essential commodities like food and fuel.

Host countries are grappling with “refugee fatigue” as resources are stretched to the limit. Vulnerable groups, including women and children, are at increased risk of exploitation and abuse.

The international community’s support remains crucial to mitigate these impacts. Organizations like the UN and various NGOs have been working tirelessly to provide essential services, including healthcare, legal assistance, and protection for refugees.

However, the long-term reconstruction of Ukraine will require a far more extensive commitment from governments, international bodies, and the private sector.

Destruction of Infrastructure: A Nation in Ruins

Ukraine’s infrastructure has suffered enormous damage. Russian air strikes have targeted critical facilities, including healthcare centers, residential areas, and energy installations, leaving millions without electricity, heating, and clean water.

The collapse of the Nova Kakhovka dam further disrupted access to drinking water and posed a severe threat to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

The cost of reconstruction is daunting. Damage inflicted by Russian aggression is estimated to reach $800 billion, and projections by the World Bank and Ukrainian government suggest that rebuilding could cost up to $1 trillion.

This extensive destruction highlights the need for a massive labor force, in addition to financial resources, to restore Ukraine to stability.

Labor Shortage: A Barrier to Rebuilding

One of the major challenges Ukraine will face in the post-war period is a severe labor shortage. Millions of Ukrainians, including skilled workers, have either left the country or perished in the conflict.

Those who remain face numerous challenges, including physical injuries and psychological trauma. Estimates suggest that Ukraine will need an additional 4.5 million workers to execute its reconstruction plans.

With much of its native workforce displaced or resettled abroad, Ukraine may need to rely on foreign labor.

 

Countries with large labor pools, such as Turkey, India, Pakistan, Egypt, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, China, and Vietnam, could play an essential role in providing the workforce Ukraine requires.

 

However, managing this influx of foreign workers will be complex, especially as Ukraine aims to integrate with the European Union.

Managing Migration: The EU Border Challenge

Ukraine’s aspirations for EU membership and its need for foreign labor present unique challenges for migration management. Workers from other nations may view Ukraine as a stepping stone to wealthier EU countries, creating potential migration pressures along EU borders.

Ukraine and the EU may therefore need to implement robust border controls to prevent unauthorized migration while establishing legal channels for foreign workers to aid in Ukraine’s rebuilding efforts.

This delicate balance will require close cooperation between Ukraine and the EU, as well as policies that facilitate legal migration while safeguarding EU borders. This situation could also serve as an opportunity for Ukraine to forge new partnerships with labor-rich countries, creating frameworks for mutual benefit.

Forging Strategic Partnerships for Reconstruction

Addressing its labor needs will require Ukraine to engage in strategic partnerships with nations rich in human capital.

Fair and transparent agreements can ensure a steady flow of workers while providing economic opportunities for job-seekers from abroad. Such partnerships could bolster Ukraine’s reconstruction efforts and strengthen its international relations, laying the groundwork for future collaborations.

By establishing these partnerships now, Ukraine can prepare for a smoother post-war transition, welcoming foreign workers in an organized way that respects both Ukrainian and EU security protocols. This proactive approach will be crucial to Ukraine’s recovery and its potential growth within the European Union.

The Path Forward

Rebuilding Ukraine is more than an economic or infrastructural challenge; it’s a humanitarian imperative.

To emerge from this crisis, Ukraine will need a resilient and diverse workforce, backed by strategic partnerships and sustained international cooperation. The country has a chance not only to rebuild but to become a stronger, more integrated member of the European community.

The world must recognize that Ukraine’s struggle for survival and sovereignty is far from over. As the conflict shapes the nation’s future, Ukraine and its allies must begin planning for the colossal task of reconstruction.

Through meticulous planning, global solidarity, and effective policies, Ukraine can move forward, proving that resilience and unity can triumph over even the most devastating challenges.

Author Dr. Mohammad Zahoor https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/42301

05.11.2024

Dr. Mohammad Zahoor. 

The US Election – Ruminations on a Trump Victory

A Trump victory could impact the Ukraine-Russia war, empower Putin, challenge Zelensky, and force Europe to rethink its security strategy in a world with diminished US involvement.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and former US President Donald Trump, shake hands during a meeting, in New York City, on Sept. 27, 2024. Photo: Alex Kent / AFP

If Donald Trump were to win the elections in today’s US presidential election, it would likely introduce a significant shift in US policy toward the war in Ukraine. Trump has consistently voiced skepticism about continued US involvement in Ukraine, arguing that the conflict is not a core US interest and suggesting a focus on negotiating a settlement.

If Trump takes office with this stance, the implications could reshape the war’s trajectory. Here are several possible scenarios:

A shift in US policy and reduction in support

A Trump victory could lead to a decrease or an outright halt in US military and financial assistance to Ukraine. US support has been crucial, with billions in military aid and advanced weaponry bolstering Ukrainian forces. Trump may push for a settlement through negotiation rather than continuing to fund Ukraine’s defense. A withdrawal of or reduction in US support would likely weaken Ukraine’s military capabilities, which have been heavily reliant on US-supplied HIMARS, air defense systems, and intelligence support.

Impact on NATO and European unity

A diminished US role could place unprecedented pressure on NATO and the European Union to independently sustain support for Ukraine. Although European countries have provided significant aid, their resources and capabilities do not match those of the US The EU would face an enormous financial and logistical burden, and without US leadership, there could be a split within NATO regarding the extent and nature of future support for Ukraine.

Some European nations - such as Poland, the Baltic states, and the United Kingdom - are firmly committed to supporting Ukraine and might push for continued assistance even without the US. However, wealthier and more influential countries like Germany and France, which have historically favored diplomacy and are cautious about further escalation, could push for a peace settlement, potentially leading to diverging policies within the EU.

Possible negotiated settlement and Russia’s advantage

Trump’s desire to broker a “quick deal” could embolden Putin. A scenario where the US pushes Ukraine to negotiate might involve significant territorial concessions, leaving Ukraine vulnerable and potentially forcing Zelensky to accept unfavorable terms. Trump’s rhetoric has sometimes suggested a willingness to allow Russia to retain control over disputed territories in eastern Ukraine, a stance that could weaken Ukraine’s leverage and signal to Putin that his aggressive tactics are effective.

 

If a settlement were reached that preserved some Russian gains, this would not only bolster Putin domestically by validating his narrative of Russia’s strength but also create a dangerous precedent. It would signal that territorial aggression can yield results, potentially emboldening other nations with similar ambitions.

 

European self-reliance and military build-Up

With the US potentially reducing its involvement, the EU would face a pivotal moment: either bolster its collective defense or risk capitulating to Russian pressure. Europe has the economic power to counterbalance Russia if it fully unites, but it would require substantial increases in defense spending, acceleration of military integration, and enhancement of its military-industrial complex to become self-sufficient.

The EU would need to adopt an integrated approach to defense that currently does not exist on the scale required. Given that many EU countries rely heavily on US military technology and intelligence, transitioning to independent support for Ukraine would require years of restructuring and investment. Countries like Germany, which have been reluctant to invest heavily in defense, would need to transform their policies quickly.

Strategic stalemate or Ukrainian decline without US support

Without continued US assistance, Ukraine might struggle to maintain the current level of resistance against Russia. A shift in US policy could lead to a slower and more costly war of attrition, with Ukraine forced to defend its territory without sufficient resources to reclaim Russian-occupied areas. European support alone may not be enough to sustain the full breadth of Ukraine’s military operations, potentially leading to a strategic stalemate where both sides remain entrenched without any decisive outcome.

This scenario could lead to a frozen conflict, with Ukraine losing de facto control over eastern territories while maintaining Western support in a more limited capacity. This outcome would be advantageous for Russia, as it would likely retain control over the regions it has already annexed and face less international pressure to withdraw.

The question of European capability minus the US

The EU, without US backing, could find itself outmatched by Russia’s sheer military scale. Russia, while facing economic challenges and logistical issues, still maintains a robust military infrastructure that European forces alone may struggle to counter. The absence of the US would leave a significant gap in NATO’s military capabilities, especially in airpower, intelligence, and logistical support.

The EU would also struggle to match the level of advanced weaponry and financial resources the US has contributed. While European nations could continue supplying Ukraine with arms, a reduction in the flow of high-tech systems and the absence of American intelligence assets would weaken Ukraine’s defenses. Additionally, European nations might have to ration their stockpiles for their own security, reducing the volume and quality of aid they can send to Ukraine.

Potential fallout on global influence and alliances

A Trump victory that results in a US retreat from Ukraine could reshape global alliances. Eastern European countries, fearing Russian aggression, may pursue stronger bilateral defense ties with non-European allies, such as the UK, Japan, or even Australia. Meanwhile, Russia would likely grow closer to China, feeling emboldened by a fractured Western response.

Additionally, a US pullback from Ukraine could signal to authoritarian regimes worldwide that the West is divided and may not intervene against aggressive actions, potentially increasing instability in other regions. If the US is perceived as an unreliable ally, European nations may seek to deepen their military and economic ties with each other, possibly accelerating EU defense integration and diminishing the central role of the US in European security.

Who would emerge victorious?

Putin’s Advantage:

If Trump’s policy leads to reduced US support for Ukraine and Europe cannot adequately fill the gap, Putin would likely emerge with a strategic advantage. This scenario would validate his long-term strategy of outlasting Western resolve and create opportunities for further influence in Eastern Europe. Russia could consolidate its control over occupied territories, and Putin would gain a significant propaganda victory by portraying the West as divided and inconsistent.

Zelensky’s Challenge:

Without US support, Zelensky would face an uphill battle. Although Europe could continue to provide some assistance, the scale would be insufficient to match the resources that Ukraine has received from the US so far. In this case, Zelensky might have to choose between accepting a potentially unfavorable negotiated settlement or continuing a drawn-out, costly conflict with diminished resources.

The role of the EU and NATO:

In the absence of the US, the EU and NATO would be forced to confront their security vulnerabilities. This might push Europe towards strategic autonomy, but it would be a challenging and lengthy transition. If Europe can unify and invest substantially in its defense capabilities, it could counterbalance Russia to some extent. However, achieving this would require unprecedented cooperation and spending, which is uncertain.

 

Conclusion

In the short term, a Trump victory and subsequent US withdrawal would likely benefit Putin, allowing him to solidify gains in Ukraine and weakening Ukraine’s position on the battlefield. While Europe could attempt to step up, the absence of US military and financial support would be difficult to replace. Russia might gain the upper hand, at least temporarily, and any hope for a Ukrainian victory would become significantly more challenging.

In the longer term, a diminished US role in European security could motivate the EU to bolster its defenses and pursue strategic autonomy, though this transition would be fraught with challenges and would not yield immediate results. Ultimately, the West’s ability to contain Russian aggression would be significantly weakened in the absence of US support, risking further instability in the region and beyond.

Author Dr. Mohammad Zahoor https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/41658

10.10.2024

Between wanting to help Ukraine and taking the necessary steps to ensure that help achieves its aim – victory – there seems to be an abyss. The West is now wavering above that abyss.

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Dr. Mohammad Zahoor. 

Betrayal and Promises: The West’s Dilemmas in Supporting Ukraine

Demonstrators hold up placards with the lettering 'Stop Putin' and 'Stand with Ukraine' during a protest against Russia's aggression and war in Ukraine, in downtown Budapest on April 30, 2022. More than 5.4 million Ukrainians have fled their country since Russia invaded two months ago, with tens of thousands joining their ranks every day, the United Nations says. Beyond the refugees, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) estimates more than 7.7 million people have been displaced within Ukraine, meaning that more than 13 million people overall have been uprooted by the conflict. (Photo by Attila KISBENEDEK / AFP)

The ongoing war in Ukraine has exposed a sharp contrast between the promises made by Western nations and the harsh realities faced by the Ukrainian people on the ground. While the West has pledged support, reports indicate that this response has often been inconsistent, hampered by logistical delays, ineffective supply chains, and geopolitical hesitations, all of which have real-world consequences for Ukraine’s sovereignty and security.
 

Delayed support and faulty ammunition

One of Ukraine’s most critical challenges has been the timely delivery of military aid. Analysts and military experts have argued that Western nations have delayed fulfilling Ukraine’s urgent requests, bogged down by bureaucratic processes. This delay has left Ukrainian soldiers in desperate circumstances on the frontlines, awaiting promised weaponry that fails to arrive on time. Such delays can be seen as a breach of trust, as the speed and effectiveness of support are vital in a war where the situation can shift rapidly.

Further complicating matters, reports of faulty munitions have exacerbated the struggles faced by Ukrainian forces. In warfare, precision and reliability are key; however, the delivery of substandard equipment puts lives at risk and can jeopardize entire operations. Western nations must not only ensure that military aid reaches Ukraine but that it functions properly upon arrival – an obligation that, at times, seems to have been overlooked.

Financial aid stalled amidst political maneuverings

The financial side of Western support has also faced significant hurdles. A staggering $60 billion in aid had been held up in the US Congress for more than six months, highlighting a troubling trend of political jockeying at the expense of urgent humanitarian and military needs. While politicians debate and bargain over resources, Ukrainian cities continue to face relentless attacks, civilians – including women and children – are forced to flee their homes, and soldiers die awaiting the aid that could change the tide of battles. This delay underscores a chilling reality: while Ukrainian lives are on the line, political posturing seems to take priority.

Constraints on military strategy

Additionally, the restrictions imposed by Western leaders on Ukraine’s military strategies have impaired its ability to fight effectively. The refusal to permit Ukraine to strike Russian arsenals within Russian territory effectively ties the hands of its military, creating an imbalanced battlefield. Russia, operating with fewer restrictions, can deploy its military without facing the same limitations. This disparity has allowed Russia to sustain its offensive, leading to the loss of key territories for Ukraine.

The impact of the US elections

As the US approaches a pivotal election, Ukraine’s situation becomes even more precarious. Former President Donald Trump has made his position clear – if elected, he intends to withdraw US support from the conflict, advocating for negotiations with Russia. This approach risks legitimizing Russia’s acts of aggression and could leave Ukraine in a vulnerable position, potentially forced to agree to terms that favor a stronger adversary. Should this stance gain traction, it could usher in a “rule of the jungle” scenario, where might triumphs over right, leaving nations like Ukraine at the mercy of more powerful neighbors.

The Middle East conflict’s impact

Since the Oct. 7, 2023, the West’s focus has shifted to the conflict involving Israel, Hamas, Hezbollah, Lebanon, and Iran. Resources have been rapidly deployed to support Israel, and the Russia-Ukraine war has seemingly vanished from Western media following Iranian missile strikes on Israeli territory. This represents another potential injustice to the Ukrainian people, who have already endured so much and may struggle to continue in the face of other geopolitical crises. The West must ensure that Ukraine continues to receive its share of financial and military aid, regardless of other global developments. Delays or excuses should not be tolerated when lives and sovereignty are at stake.

A call for unity and commitment

The promises made by the West to Ukraine must be translated into concrete actions that live up to the rhetoric. As the world watches this crisis unfold, it is crucial that Western nations not only reaffirm their commitment to supporting Ukraine but also provide stronger, more timely, and strategic aid. This conflict serves as a stark reminder of the cost of inaction and the importance of upholding the principles of sovereignty and freedom in the face of aggressive imperialism. Ukraine’s struggle is emblematic of a broader battle for democratic values worldwide, and it is vital that the West does not abandon its ally at this critical juncture.

Author Dr. Mohammad Zahoor

01.10.2024

Dr. Mohammad Zahoor. 

Zelensky’s Diplomatic Victory in the Face of Political Headwinds

Zelensky’s trip to the US looked at first as if it would be a disaster. But the Ukrainian president managed to make adjustments in mid-stream and come up with some positive results.​

​Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky attends a press conference with US Vice President and Democratic

presidential candidate Kamala Harris in  Washington, DC. (Photo by Drew ANGERER / AFP)

Editor’s note: Dr. Mohammad Zahoor is a former owner of the Kyiv Post (2009 - 2018)

The recent visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the United States for the 79th United Nations General Assembly had all the makings of a diplomatic disaster. The timing was precarious – just weeks before the highly contentious US presidential elections. His agenda seemed ambitious, even risky: meet with President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, presidential candidate from the Democratic Party, Kamala Harris, and several members of both the Democratic and Republican parties.

The initial leg of Zelensky’s tour, however, was met with significant political tension. His Sept. 22, 2024, visit to the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant in Pennsylvania stirred controversy. The factory produces 155mm artillery shells vital to Ukraine’s war effort, and Zelensky’s visit was a gesture of gratitude to the American people. But the optics were complicated: he was accompanied only by Democratic politicians, including Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and US Senator Bob Casey. Republicans were quick to criticize the visit as partisan, citing the exclusion of GOP lawmakers and the use of taxpayer funds, particularly since Zelensky had flown in on a C-17 Air Force transport plane.

Republicans saw the Scranton event as a political move to bolster Democratic candidates. Rep. Johnson penned a letter accusing Zelensky of turning the visit into a “politically contested battleground state” event designed to support Kamala Harris’s candidacy. Johnson’s critique was echoed by House Oversight and Accountability Chair James Comer, who vowed to investigate the potential misuse of government resources, accusing Zelensky of interfering in US elections.

 

The turbulence continued, with prominent Republicans like Donald Trump and his running mate, J.D. Vance, voicing strong opposition. Zelensky was particularly criticized for labeling Vance “too radical,” noting that the senator was willing to concede Ukrainian territory to Russia. Trump, meanwhile, dismissed any plans to meet with Zelensky, accusing him of refusing to strike a deal with Russia and ending the war.

Turning the tide

Despite the rocky start, Zelensky and his team deftly recalibrated their strategy. In a significant move, they arranged a bipartisan meeting with a group of US lawmakers. Both Democrats and Republicans participated, and the atmosphere of the meeting was described as positive and constructive. Lawmakers came away from the meeting reaffirming their commitment to supporting Ukraine.

Rep. Steny Hoyer expressed optimism following the meeting, stating, “There was bipartisan support for success in Ukraine, which is critically important.” Meanwhile, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick noted that Zelensky provided a comprehensive update on Ukraine’s needs, the situation on the battlefield, and a list of individuals and businesses evading sanctions.

Zelensky’s team managed to downplay the absence of certain Republicans, including Johnson, as mere scheduling conflicts. The turning point came when Zelensky secured a private meeting with Donald Trump at Trump Tower in New York. After days of speculation about whether the meeting would happen, Trump praised Zelensky, citing a “very good relationship” with the Ukrainian leader. The meeting was an unexpected victory for Zelensky, given Trump’s initial refusal to engage.

During their discussion, Trump emphasized that a resolution to the conflict could be achieved quickly if he were elected, while Zelensky reaffirmed that Putin could not be allowed to win the war. The meeting demonstrated Zelensky’s ability to navigate the tricky waters of US politics, securing commitments from both political sides.

A diplomatic masterstroke

In addition to his political wins, Zelensky’s visit bore tangible results for Ukraine. Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris expressed her unwavering support for Ukraine. President Joe Biden went a step further, announcing an $8 billion aid package for Ukraine. This package included $5.5 billion in military assistance from the Department of Defense’s stockpiles, as well as $2.4 billion dedicated to air defense, munitions, and training to help Kyiv continue its fight against Russia.

While the visit began with controversy and partisan friction, it ultimately culminated in a diplomatic triumph for Zelensky and his team. What could have been a political misstep just six weeks ahead of the US elections turned into a major diplomatic victory, securing continued US support for Ukraine’s war effort and bolstering Zelensky’s position on the global stage.

The views expressed in this opinion article are the author’s and not necessarily those of Kyiv Post. 

​​https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/39813

01.10.2024

Dr. Mohammad Zahoor

Although I had significant business interests in Russia, both personally and through the ISTIL Group, unlike many companies, we made the conscious decision to effectively sever ties with the Russian Federation as early as 2014. This was a direct response to Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea and the invasion of Donetsk and Luhansk. For us, the violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty and the start of the conflict in these regions made it morally impossible to continue any form of cooperation with Russia.

It’s important to note that while we took this decisive step almost immediately, many other businesses continued their operations in Russia, needing another eight years and the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 to finally reconsider their presence in the country. Disturbingly, even today, some companies remain active in Russia, continuing to pay taxes to a regime that is now widely recognized for its brutal aggression. By maintaining these ties, these businesses are, in effect, contributing to the very machinery that funds Russia's war efforts. In doing so, they risk becoming complicit in the atrocities, war crimes, and the mass murder that is being carried out by Russian forces on Ukrainian soil.

 

01.09.2024
 

Today, September 1st, is a special day for me, as it marks exactly 50 years since I first set foot on Ukrainian soil. In 1974, as a 19-year-old student from Pakistan, I arrived here on a scholarship to study metallurgy. Since then, Ukraine has become an integral part of my life and destiny.
Over these 50 years, I have not only built a successful business by founding ISTIL Group but have also actively participated in the social and cultural life of the country. By investing over $400 million in the Ukrainian economy, I have always considered it my duty to support the country that has given me so much.
My family and I founded a charitable foundation that has been helping children in need for many years, and with the onset of the war, we have been actively supporting humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. I am also proud to have been one of the initiators of the YUNA music awards and to have supported the restoration of the Odessa Opera House.
Ukraine has given me not only the opportunity to realize my dreams but also love, faith, and hope. Over these years, I have become not just an outside observer but a true friend of Ukraine, always ready to support it in the most challenging times.
Today, I want to express my deepest gratitude to Ukraine and its people for everything it has given me. This country will forever remain in my heart, and I will continue to do everything possible to support it in this difficult time.


With love and gratitude,
Mohammad Zahoor

24.08.2024
The Cost of Supporting Ukraine: A British Investor’s Battle Against Corruption and Legal Injustice.

Mohammad Zahoor

Think Twice Before Investing in Ukraine

 

​Background:

My name is Mohammad Zahoor, a British citizen and a seasoned investor who has dedicated over 30 years and $400 million to Ukraine's economy. As the former owner of the *Kyiv Post*, Ukraine’s only English-language newspaper at the time, I championed the cause of free speech and transparency. My investments have spanned across sectors, from the Odesa Sea Port to real estate in Kyiv. However, despite my commitment to Ukraine’s growth, I now find myself entangled in a nightmarish struggle against corruption, legal abuse, and state-sanctioned property seizures by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

 

The Issue:

In July 2024, armed military personnel from the Ministry of Defense seized a property complex my company has owned since 2009. This seizure was based on a dubious court ruling from 2019 that I was unaware of until July this year. The ruling allegedly "returned" the property to the Ministry as evidence in a long-closed 2009 case where were not a party. Despite multiple Supreme Court decisions affirming my ownership, the Ministry has chosen to ignore these rulings, instead leveraging corrupt courts and officials to strip me of my legally owned property.

A Broader Concern for the West:

This is not just my fight. It is a warning to Western nations that continue to support Ukraine financially and militarily. If a British investor, deeply embedded in Ukraine’s development and backed by the Supreme Court, can have his property unlawfully seized, what does this mean for other foreign investors, diplomats, and companies? As Western governments pour billions into Ukraine to support its war efforts, it is critical to ask: where is the accountability? How can we ensure that the aid meant to support Ukraine’s sovereignty and democratic development isn’t being siphoned off by corrupt officials?

 

Why This Matters:

The implications of my case extend far beyond my personal loss. They challenge the very foundations of trust that foreign investors and governments place in Ukraine. If the rule of law can be so easily circumvented in my case, it sets a dangerous precedent for others. This is particularly alarming in a country that is actively seeking to rebuild and attract international investment amidst ongoing conflict.

 

Call to Action:

I call on Western governments, international organizations, and the global business community to demand greater accountability from Ukraine. The ongoing war should not be an excuse for the erosion of legal rights and the exploitation of investors. As Ukraine continues to receive substantial Western support, it is imperative that this support comes with conditions that protect the rule of law and ensure that corrupt practices are not tolerated.

 

Next Steps:

In the coming months, I will be launching a campaign to raise awareness of this issue across multiple platforms, including media, X, Facebook, Instagram, YouTube and TikTok. My goal is to ensure that this case—and others like it—receive the attention they deserve from Western media and policymakers. I will continue to fight for my rights in international courts, but I need the support of the global community to bring this injustice to light.

Final Thoughts:

Ukraine’s future as a democratic nation depends not just on its ability to defend its borders but on its commitment to upholding the principles of justice and the rule of law. My story is a stark reminder of the dangers that come when these principles are compromised. I urge the international community to think carefully about the risks of investing in Ukraine under the current circumstances and to push for reforms that ensure fairness and transparency for all.

My name is Mohammad Zahoor. I am a British citizen, the owner of the "Istil" group of companies, and the former owner of the English-language newspaper "Kyiv Post" in Ukraine. My first investment in Ukraine was in the Odessa Seaport in 1993. Since then, my group of companies has invested more than $400 million in various sectors of the Ukrainian economy.

This is a continuation of my article, published on October 3, 2018, and subsequently widely reprinted.

Ukraine is striving to attract direct foreign investment, but the levels remain minimal. This is not only due to the war. Rampant corruption, issues within the judicial and law enforcement systems, raider seizures, lack of rule of law, absence of proper governance, a powerless government, and concentration of power in a few hands—these are numerous reasons that deter the flow of investments into Ukraine.

I owned "Kyiv Post" for nine years, aiming to convey to the public both the positive and negative aspects of doing business in Ukraine. I often emphasized all the pros and cons, allowing readers to decide for themselves whether to invest or not.

 

After selling "Kyiv Post" in April 2018, pressure on me resumed, but I did not change my commitment to objectivity. We focused on the challenges faced by foreign investors in Ukraine: corruption, raiding, unfair courts, prosecutors, police, tax authorities, criminals, etc.

In 2015, "Kyiv Post" supported Poroshenko at the beginning of his presidency, but we soon noticed that the fight against corruption was not being conducted properly. Problems grew, and we began criticizing Poroshenko and his team. In response, the SBU initiated a criminal case related to the illegal restoration of the facade of the "Leipzig" hotel, but after providing all the documents, the case was closed.

However, our troubles did not end. Next, we faced several raiders attack. Here is the chronology of events:

1. In July 2009, we purchased a complex of buildings on a plot of land at 24-A Sichovykh Striltsiv Street (formerly Artem Street) in Kyiv. The property was privately owned and was bought from a company that had paid the Ministry of Defense about a million dollars.

2. In September 2009, the Commercial Court of Kyiv recognized us as a bona fide purchaser. This decision was upheld by all subsequent instances, including the Supreme Court of Ukraine in December 2009.

 

We breathed a sigh of relief, believing that the decision of the country's highest court would stop the raiders once and for all, and they would no longer attack us.

3. In December 2010, the Kyiv City Council decided to sell us the land plot.

4. In February 2011, a purchase agreement for the land plot was signed.

5. In May 2017, we fully paid for the land and registered ownership of it.

 

However, our belief that the decision of the Supreme Court would put an end to raider attacks proved to be mistaken.

6. In December 2017, our rights to the land plot were challenged by the "Prombud-M" company with the participation of the Ministry of Defense.

7. In January 2018, we contested in court the agreement between the Ministry of Defense and "Prombud-M," under which they disposed of our land plot, which we own by right of ownership.

8. On May 3, 2018, the court ruled in our favor. This decision was upheld by the Court of Appeal on July 1, 2019.

9. On May 22, 2018, Judge Vladislav Demidov declared the Kyiv City Council's decision to sell us the land invalid.

10. On May 23, 2018, ironically or coincidentally, exactly one day after signing the ruling against us, Judge Demidov's judicial powers expired. However, this "farewell gift" from the judge to our opponents—the raiders—lasted less than nine months.

11. On February 4, 2019, the Court of Appeal upheld our complaint and overturned Judge Demidov's decision.

12. On April 24, 2019, the Supreme Court upheld the decision to recognize our ownership rights to the land plot.

After Poroshenko's fall and Zelensky's victory, I hoped that the bad days for Ukraine were over. But this did not happen. We again faced a raider attack on the same asset by officials from the Ministry of Defense.

13. In May 2023, my company was hinted at the existence of a criminal case and indirectly demanded money for its closure.

14. On July 10, 2024, armed military personnel from the Ministry of Defense seized our property complex in Kyiv. We found out that the basis for the seizure was a dubious ruling issued by the Shevchenkivskyi District Court of Kyiv in 2019. This ruling, which my company was unaware of until July 2024, ordered the "return of the property complex" to the Ministry of Defense's housing and operational management as material evidence in a 2009 case against a ministry official. However, this ruling did not apply to my company, the owner of the property complex, and we were not even a party to this case.

Serious questions arise regarding the fact that the Shevchenkivskyi District Court changed a decade-old ruling without notifying the legal owner of the property, whose ownership rights were confirmed by a Supreme Court decision.

Rhetorical questions arise:

  • Why were changes made to a 2009 case in 2019, when the statute of limitations had expired more than three times?

  • Why did this 2019 ruling surface five years after its issuance when the statute of limitations had expired?

  • Why was the property owner not notified, despite paying all property taxes and utility bills for years?

  • Why was the registrar of Yakushynets Village Council in Vinnytsia Oblast chosen to register the property, and not a registrar in Kyiv?

  • How could the registrar register ownership of the property when it was under Tax Authority arrest due to ongoing tax issues?

  • How could the registrar change the property's owner when it was mortgaged to a third party?

  • What were a dozen black SUVs with tinted windows doing at the site of the raider seizure?

  • Why was a notorious lawyer, who always represents the interests of the land mafia, present at the scene of the raider seizure?

The simplest answer is that it was a meticulously planned raider attack.

15. In July 2024, as another pressure tactic, the Ministry of Defense initiated a criminal case against us, allegedly for destroying the property complex, although its condition has not changed since the date of purchase.

My company has owned this complex for 15 years, repeatedly defended its rights in court, and paid taxes, but still ending up losing the property due to corrupt courts and officials.

During Poroshenko's time, foreign embassies, media, and their presence at court hearings helped our case. This time, publishing any article not favorable to the government leads to journalists being summoned to the Army Recruitment Centres, and the media is afraid to publish such content. I understand that under the current circumstances, the Ministry of Defense and the courts will never let me win. However, I will not give up. Even if I lose all the courts in this country, I will defend my rights in an international court and file a lawsuit against the state of Ukraine.

Before bringing our case to the public, I sent letters and  press release to several key figures and organizations, including the President of Ukraine, UkrInvest, Transparency International, the Business Ombudsman, the American Chamber of Commerce (of which we are long-time members), the IMF, the EBRD, the Ministry of Justice, the Parliamentary Committee for Fighting Corruption, the Minister of Economy, the EU Embassy, as well as media outlets like New Time, KyivPost, Kyiv Independent, Ukrainskaya Pravda, Unian, Interfax, and others. Unfortunately, none of these recipients deemed my letter worthy of attention or publication, and did not even bother to reply. The only exception was the Office of the President, which responded that our letter did not meet their format requirements, without addressing the content. I have since reformatted the letter according to their specifications and am awaiting their further response.

I understand that Ukraine is currently at war with a cowardly enemy, and that the global community is united in support. Governments may be reluctant to highlight any negative news to avoid backlash from their taxpayers. However, this reluctance does nothing to address the serious issues faced by the foreign and local business communities at the hands of corrupt officials and raiders. The U.S., UK, and EU governments should apply pressure on Ukraine to put an end to such practices. However, the challenge remains—who can they turn to for rectification if even the Office of the President is implicated in these malpractices?

 

I hope that the diplomatic community, Ukraine's partner countries, business associations, and other agencies will read this article and use their influence to convince the Ukrainian authorities that the dissatisfaction of real investors, especially those who have invested over $400 million, indicates a failure in efforts to improve the investment climate in Ukraine.

 

I also appeal to my government, the United Kingdom, to strictly control how our taxpayers' money is used in Ukraine and to ensure it does not end up in the hands of corrupt officials.

PRESS RELEASE

Dr. Mohammad Zahoor, Pakistani-Origin British Investor's Humanitarian Efforts in
Ukraine: A Chronicle of Commitment and Betrayal

Kyiv, Ukraine – August 01, 2024 – In a shocking turn of events, Dr. Mohammad Zahoor, a 
Pakistani-origin British investor known for his unwavering commitment to Ukraine's cultural, 
humanitarian, and defense sectors, was illegally deprived of real estate in the city of Kyiv.
The raider seizure of the property occurred based on a dubious court order in 2019, despite three 
court decisions in favor of Dr. Zahoor, including one from the Supreme Court. Dr.
Zahoor’s contributions to Ukraine over the decades have been monumental, spanning from cultural 
restoration to life-saving humanitarian aid.

A Legacy of Contribution:


Cultural Revival:

In the late 90s, Dr. Zahoor spearheaded the restoration of the Odesa Opera, preserving a 
significant piece of Ukrainian cultural heritage.

Religious and Industrial Integration:


He funded the construction of a chapel in the Donetsk Metallurgical Mill, blending spiritual solace 
with industrial progress.

Journalistic Integrity:


As the fearless publisher of KyivPost from 2009 to 2018, he exposed government corruption and 
malfeasance, holding power to account.

 

Humanitarian Efforts:

Refugee Support:

Despite losing tens of millions of dollars due to the occupation of Donetsk and Luhansk by Russia, 
Dr. Zahoor focused on aiding hundreds of internally displaced refugees from Donbas.

Medical Donations:


His donations of life-saving equipment to the Center for Pediatric Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery 
in Kyiv have saved the lives of over 100,000 children with heart defects.

COVID-19 Response:

During the COVID-19 pandemic, his donation of life-saving medicines saved thousands of lives.
 

International Mediation:


Afghan Evacuation:

  • When the USA abandoned Afghanistan, Dr. Zahoor mediated the rescue of 92 Ukrainian citizens,

     coordinating between GUR, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.

War-Time Humanitarian Services:

 

European Coordination:

  • Worked with Hungarian and Polish governments to receive Ukrainian immigrants and facilitate 

     their transition to the EU.

  • Coordinated with the Belgian government for temporary residence arrangements for forced 

     migrants from Ukraine.

  • Established three hostels outside Frankfurt for 700 immigrants.

  • Sponsored Ukrainian citizens in the UK.

  • Organized charity concerts and meet-and-greet events for Ukrainian refugees across Hungary, 

  • Poland, Germany, Italy, and Belgium.

  • Dispatched daily supplies of medicines and food during the initial months of the war.

A Grave Injustice:

Despite his monumental contributions, on July 10, 2024, merely two days after a cowardly Russian 
attack on Ohmatdyt, a dozen armed military personnel from the Ministry of Defense’s apartment 
department, accompanied by their land mafia patrons in black SUVs and a notorious lawyer, executed 
a brazen raid on Dr. Zahoor's company property in central Kyiv. This egregious act saw his property 
unlawfully occupied, witnessed by onlookers as an abuse of power and a betrayal of a dedicated 
humanitarian.

 

Prehistory:

Since 2009, the private enterprise "Parker Plus" has owned the property complex at Kyiv, str. 
Sichovyh Streltsiv, 24A. In 2010, the Kyiv City Council allocated a plot of land under the property 
complex for lease to the company. The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine never owned this property, as 
confirmed by three court decisions:

  • The decision of the Supreme Court from 2009

  • The decision of the Supreme Court from 2019

  • The decision of the Court of Appeal from 2019

In 2018, the Ministry of Defense’s apartment department and the Prosecutor's Office attempted to 
seize this property illegally, a story actively covered in the mass media:

  • 24tv.ua publication dated November 23, 2018

  • Glavcom.ua publication dated October 19, 2018

  • Delo.ua publication dated October 3, 2018

  • Propertytimes.com.ua publication dated October 8, 2018

  • Liga.net publication dated October 7, 2018

The Supreme Court confirmed the ownership of Mr. Zahoor’s company over the property complex.

The Questionable Court Order:

The Shevchenkiv District Court of Kyiv issued the order in 2019, ironically just months after 
Ukraine's highest appeal court's ruling in favor of Dr. Zahoor. This order, unknown to Dr.
Zahoor's company until July 2024, mandated the return of the property complex to the Ministry of 
Defense’s apartment department as physical evidence related to a 2009 case against a Ministry 
official. This order, however, did not apply to Dr. Zahoor’s company. The fact that the court 
amended a decade-old decision without notifying the legal owner raises serious questions.

Rhetorical questions arise:

  • Why did this order surface five years after its adoption?

  • Why weren't the owners informed despite paying all property taxes and communal charges

     for years?

  • Why was a registrar in Yakushinetsky village council of the Vinnytsia region chosen to 

  • register the property instead of any Kyiv registrar?

  • What were a dozen black mirrored SUVs doing at the site during the raid?

 

The answer appears to be a meticulously planned raider seizure.


Corruption and Intimidation:

A year ago, Istil Group was hinted at the existence of a criminal case and was indirectly asked for 
money to close it. However, Istil Group, Mr. Zahoor’s group of companies with international 
investments and reputation, categorically refuses to give bribes.

New Criminal Pressure:

Recently, Istil Group became aware that a criminal case was initiated against the company allegedly 
for the destruction of the above-mentioned property complex. The rationale for initiating a 
criminal case is impressive. Thus, the military prosecutor's office, being aware that the company 
is the legal owner of the property complex, being a participant in all court proceedings in which 
the Supreme Court recognized the company's ownership of the property complex and the land plot, 
unilaterally transfers the said property complex in its virtual

reality for storage by the company, while not even informing the company about it. The
condition of the property complex has not changed at all since the date of its acquisition by the 
company. Istil Group perceives such actions as another attempt at pressure.

Further Intentions:

Istil Group is preparing another lawsuit after winning three previous court cases to prove its 
ownership yet again. While the country is at war, these corrupt officials engage in open raiding, 
which is a shame for Ukraine.

Minister of Defense Mr. Umerov must hold accountable the corrupt officials within the Ministry of 
Defense’s apartment department and their vested interests with the land mafia.

 

Having invested over $400 million in Ukraine, Istil Group will no longer tolerate this attitude 
towards a loyal investor. It will not only fight to secure its investment in the Ukrainian court 
but also prepare a lawsuit for an investment dispute against the State of Ukraine, which the 
Ministry of Justice of Ukraine will receive soon from its lawyers. Similarly, the UK, USA, EU, and 
other diplomatic missions will also be informed about the issue. Besides local Ukrainian media 
outlets, our public relations company will also approach FT, WP, NYT, Spiegel, Politico, and Forbes 
to cover the story and insist that the Ministry of Defense punish the culprits and return the 
property to its legal owner.

Contact Information:

For further inquiries, please contact:

About Mohammad Zahoor:


Dr. Mohammad Zahoor is a distinguished investor of Pakistani origin with British citizenship whose 
contributions to Ukraine span decades and include significant cultural, humanitarian, and defense 
support. His unwavering dedication to the country has saved countless lives and bolstered Ukraine's 
resilience in the face of adversity.

This press release aims to highlight the investor's extensive contributions and the unjust
treatment he received in return.
 

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